Musi waChivabvu 27, 2025, China Securities Regulatory Commission yakabvumidza zviri pamutemo kunyoreswa kwealuminium alloyremangwana uye sarudzo paShanghai Futures Exchange, ichimaka chigadzirwa chekutanga cheramangwana chepasi rose chine aruminiyamu yakadzokororwa semusimboti wayo wekupinda mumusika wekuChina. Chiyero ichi hachingogadzirise chete mashandiro emitengo yealuminium indasitiri cheni, asi inogona zvakare kuve yakakosha mari yekushandisa kusimudzira yakaderera-kabhoni shanduko yepasi rose aruminiyamu indasitiri.
Iko kukanganisa kwakadzama pane iyo aluminium indasitiri cheni
Kubudirira muKumisikidzwa kweRecycled Aluminium Indasitiri
Semugadziri mukuru pasi rose uye mutengi wearuminiyamu yakakandwa alloys (ine kugadzirwa kwematani 6.2 miriyoni uye kushandiswa kwematani 6.73 miriyoni muna 2024), indasitiri yeAruminiyamu yakadzokororwa yeChina yakatarisana nemarwadzo ekuvhiringidzika kwemitengo. Cheng Huawei, maneja weSecretariat Hofisi yeGuangdong Hongjin New Materials Group, akataura kuti vatengi vepasi vane kudiwa kwakasimba kwemaodha ekuvhara mitengo, asi nekuda kwekushaikwa kwemhando dzearuminiyamu dzenguva yemberi dzakadzokororwa, mabhizinesi anogona kungovimba nearuminiyamu remangwana rekutanga kana kumberi mirairo kukiya mitengo, zvichikonzera kukanganisa kwemitengo. Kuvhurwa kwealuminium alloy remangwana kuchazadza gap iri zvakananga, kuwana hukama hwemutengo pakati pearuminiyamu yakadzokororwa uye yekutanga aluminium, uye kusimudzira maitiro eiyo indasitiri.
Innovation muRisk Management Tools
Rondedzero yeramangwana uye maturusi esarudzo inopa nzira nyowani yealuminium indasitiri cheni mabhizinesi ekumisa kuderera kwemitengo. Tichitora mabhizinesi ealuminium akadzokororwa semuenzaniso, chikamu chezvakaraswa zvealuminium mumitengo yazvo yakabikwa chinodarika 70%, uye kuchinjika kwemitengo yezvakaraswa aruminiyamu inogara yakakwirira kupfuura iyo ye electrolytic aluminium. Kuburikidza nemusika weramangwana, makambani anogona kuwana:
Hedging: Kiya mumutengo wekutenga zvigadzirwa uye mutengo wekutengesa zvigadzirwa kudzivirira njodzi yekushanduka kwemitengo yesimbi.
Inventory manejimendi: Kushandisa remangwana reimba yekuchengetera risiti kudzikisira off-mwaka inventory kumanikidza uye kuwedzera nzira dzekutengesa.
Financing innovation: Kushandisa marisiti emangwana ekuchengetera zvinhu sechibatiso kuti uwane mari yakaderera uye kukwidziridza cheni huru.
Low carbon transformation accelerator
Kukandira aruminiyamu alloys kunonyanya kushandisa zvimedu zvearuminiyamu seyakagadzirwa, uye kugadzira tani imwe yearuminiyamu yakadzokororwa kunogona kuderedza kubuda kwekabhoni neinopfuura makumi mapfumbamwe neshanu muzana, inova ndiyo nzira huru yekushandurwa kwekabhoni yakaderera muindasitiri yearuminiyamu yepasi rose. Wang Jian, Mutevedzeri weMutungamiriri weChina Nonferrous Metals Industry Association, akasimbisa kuti maturusi emangwana achatungamira mari yekuunganidza muindasitiri yegirinhi aruminiyamu, uye nekumhanyisa shanduko yeindasitiri yakaderera-kabhoni kuburikidza nenzira yekufambisa ye "price sign resource allocation indasitiri yekusimudzira".
Kuvakwazve kweFutures Market Pattern
1. Hondo yesimba remitengo
Wang Rong, mutevedzeri wemukuru weGuotai Junan Futures Research Institute, anofanotaura kuti kunyorwa kwealuminium alloy remangwana kuchapikisa kutonga kwemitengo yepasi rose yeLondon Metal Exchange (LME) mumitengo yealuminium.
Chikonzero ndechekuti:
Kugadzirwa kweAluminiyamu kwakadzokororwa neChina kunokwana makumi mashanu nenomwe muzana epasi rose, uye zvigadzirwa zveramangwana zvinoratidza zvakananga kudiwa mumusika weAsia.
Innovation mukuunza chigadzirwa dhizaini: Iyo yakatsanangurwa mbiri yekuendesa sisitimu ye "yakadzokororwa aruminiyamu ingots + aluminium alloy mabara" munguva yapfuura inowirirana nezvinodiwa chaizvo zveAsia kugadzirisa mabhizinesi.
Tsigiro yekugovaniswa kwepolicy: Pasi pezvinangwa zveChina zve “dual carbon”, zvigadzirwa zvegirinhi zvealuminium zvinonakidzwa nekukurudzira mutero, zvichisimudzira masimba emitengo yeramangwana.
2. Shanduko yemaitiro evatori vechikamu
Zvinotarisirwa kuti musika weramangwana ucharatidza mapoka makuru matatu ari kutora chikamu:
Indasitiri cheni mabhizinesi: aruminiyamu anonyungudutsa, akadzokorodza aruminiyamu ekugadzirisa mabhizinesi, vanogadzira zvikamu zvemotokari, nezvimwewo, nechikamu chinotarisirwa chinopfuura makumi matanhatu%.
Investment masangano: CTA mari, commodity hedge funds, kushandisa kuchinja kwemitengo kuunza kudzoka.
Vatengesi vepamuganhu: Nekudyidzana kwenyika dzemusika weChina remangwana, makambani ari kuSoutheast Asia, Middle East, uye mamwe matunhu anoshandisa aruminiyamu yakadzokororwa achatora chikamu mukupokana.
Enhanced mutengo kuwanikwa basa
Ikozvino musika wenzvimbo yecastaluminium alloyshaina mitengo yakabatana, nemisiyano yemitengo yedunhu inowanzosvika 500 yuan/ton. Mushure mekunge musika weramangwana wanyorwa, kujeka kwemitengo kuchavandudzwa zvakanyanya kuburikidza nepakati kubhidha uye nzira dzekutumira. Zvichienderana neruzivo rwerebar remangwana runyorwa, zvinotarisirwa kuti mitengo yeramangwana ichave iyo yemitengo yeinodarika 80% yenyika yakadzokororwa kutengeswa kwealuminium mukati memakore matatu.
Strategic kukosha uye indasitiri ruzivo
New paradigm yekushandira hupfumi chaihwo
Sezvambotaurwa mumagazini yapfuura, iyo foundry aluminium alloy futures inoomerera kune chinzvimbo che "sevhisi yegirinhi kusimudzira" uye kumanikidza kukwidziridzwa kwemaindasitiri nekuisa yakasimba miyero yemhando yezvigadzirwa zvekutakura (sekusvibiswa kwemukati uye michina yemagetsi). Izvi zvinoenderana nezvinodiwa necarbon footprint yeEuropean Union's Carbon Border Tax (CBAM) yezvigadzirwa zvealuminium zvinotengeswa kunze kwenyika, zvichibatsira indasitiri yeAluminiyamu yeChina kusimudzira kukwikwidza kwayo pasi rose.
Kugadzirisazve iyo Global Aluminium Market Landscape
Kusimuka kweindasitiri yekuChina yakadzokororwazve aruminiyamu kuri kunyora zvakare iyo yepasi rose aruminiyamu yekupihwa uye yekuda mepu. Muna 2024, chikamu chekugadzirwazve kwealuminium kuChina kune yekutanga aluminiyamu chasvika 22%, nepo avhareji yepasi rose ingori gumi neshanu%. Kuvandudzwa kwezviridzwa zveramangwana kuchawedzera kuita uku, uye zvinotarisirwa kuti panosvika gore ra2030, chikamu chekugadzirwazve kwealuminium muChina chichapfuura 35%, ichiwedzera kudzvanya mhiri kwemakungwa nzvimbo yemusika kabhoni aluminium.
Zvakazarurwa zveDerivative Innovation
Kutangwa kwearuminiyamu alloy remangwana kwakapa muenzaniso wekutengesa kweramangwana remamwe marudzi akadzokororwa esimbi, semhangura yakadzokororwa uye zingi. Iyo yakakosha pfungwa ndeyekubatanidza zviwanikwa zve "mumaguta emigodhi" muhurongwa hwemitengo yezvinhu uye kusimudzira kusimudzira hupfumi hwedenderedzwa kuburikidza nekuvandudza zvemari.
Pakazere, kunyorwa kwearuminiyamu alloy ramangwana uye sarudzo haingori chinhanho chitsva chemusika weChina wezvinobvamo kuti ushumire hupfumi chaihwo, asiwo yakakosha hupfumi hwehupfumi hwekushandurwa kwekabhoni yepasi rose indasitiri yealuminium. Nekuvakwa kwetiweki yekuchengetera zvinhu uye nekuvandudzwa kwematanho ekuyambuka-muganho, mhando iyi inotarisirwa kuve yakanyanya kupesvedzera isiri-ferrous metal pricing centre munzvimbo yeAsia yenguva, kuumbazve kukosha kwekugovera logic yepasi rose aluminium indasitiri .
Nguva yekutumira: May-29-2025